Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gnistan win with a probability of 46.87%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gnistan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 2-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.