Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Ekenas IF win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.