Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vaasan Palloseura win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vaasan Palloseura win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vaasan Palloseura would win this match.