Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 14
Jul 6, 2024 at 1pm UK
Ratinan Stadion
HJK logo

Ilves
3 - 0
HJK Helsinki

Veteli (4'), Haarala (13'), Riski (77')
Riski (54'), Veteli (59'), Maenpaa (88'), Maenpaa (89')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Tomas (54'), Keskinen (85')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Ilves and HJK Helsinki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ilves

All competitions
Last Game: Lahti 2-2 Ilves
Saturday, June 29 at 5pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

HJK Helsinki

All competitions
Last Game: Mariehamn 1-2 HJK Helsinki
Sunday, June 30 at 2pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Ilves win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
IlvesDrawHJK Helsinki
35.27% (-0.242 -0.24)24.41% (-0.116 -0.12)40.32% (0.354 0.35)
Both teams to score 59.7% (0.376 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.93% (0.508 0.51)43.06% (-0.511 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.53% (0.501 0.5)65.46% (-0.504 -0.5)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.97% (0.099999999999994 0.1)24.02% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.71% (0.143 0.14)58.28% (-0.147 -0.15)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.57% (0.389 0.39)21.42% (-0.393 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.56% (0.599 0.6)54.43% (-0.602 -0.6)
Score Analysis
    Ilves 35.27%
    HJK Helsinki 40.32%
    Draw 24.4%
IlvesDrawHJK Helsinki
2-1 @ 8.06% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.34% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.83% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 35.27%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.21% (0.045 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.117 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.52% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.4%
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 7.93% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.071 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.19% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.14% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.72% (0.048 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.038 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.32%

Head to Head
May 25, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 8
HJK Helsinki
1-1
Ilves
Plange (66')
Keskinen (21'), Hostikka (76'), Nunoo Sarpei (90+1')
Haarala (24' pen.)
Arifi (45'), Pikkarainen (51'), Haarala (65'), Popovits (90+3')
Jul 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
HJK Helsinki
1-0
Ilves
Tenho (53')
Tenho (71')

Mohammed (34'), Haarala (37'), Katz (54'), Traore (89')
May 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Ilves
1-1
HJK Helsinki
Ngor (48')
Ala-Myllymaki (64'), Larsson (68'), Aspegren (88'), Katz (88'), Ngor (90+2')
Radulovic (90+4')
Olusanya (39'), Toivio (85'), Keskinen (90+5')
Jul 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 15
Ilves
1-2
HJK Helsinki
Larsson (35')
Radulovic (72'), Hoskonen (88')
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
HJK Helsinki
2-1
Ilves
Jair (76', 82')
Boujellab (59')
Vidjeskog (18')
Katz (45+1'), Leislahti (68')