Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for KuPS had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest KuPS win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.