Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for SJK had a probability of 35.33% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest SJK win was 1-2 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.