Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 49.93%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.52%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.