Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 47.41%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SJK would win this match.