Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SJK win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a SJK win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.