Finnish Veikkausliiga | Gameweek 10
Jun 7, 2024 at 4pm UK
Kaarlen kentta

VPS
1 - 1
Ilves

Borchers (41')
Ahiabu (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Arifi (73')
Veteli (35')
Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between Vaasan Palloseura and Ilves.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: EIF 1-2 VPS
Sunday, June 2 at 4.30pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Ilves 1-2 KuPS
Friday, May 31 at 4pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Vaasan PalloseuraDrawIlves
33.52% (0.061 0.06)26.05% (0.114 0.11)40.42% (-0.179 -0.18)
Both teams to score 53.61% (-0.367 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.22% (-0.477 -0.48)50.77% (0.473 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.33% (-0.421 -0.42)72.66% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Vaasan Palloseura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.197 -0.2)28.73% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43% (-0.242 -0.24)64.56% (0.238 0.24)
Ilves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (-0.30800000000001 -0.31)24.77% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.66% (-0.429 -0.43)59.33% (0.425 0.43)
Score Analysis
    Vaasan Palloseura 33.52%
    Ilves 40.42%
    Draw 26.05%
Vaasan PalloseuraDrawIlves
1-0 @ 8.88% (0.121 0.12)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.53% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.21% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.52%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.12% (0.135 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.05%
0-1 @ 9.93% (0.101 0.1)
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.4% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 40.42%

How you voted: VPS vs Ilves

Vaasan Palloseura
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Ilves
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 17
Ilves
0-2
VPS

N'Diaye (45'), Parfitt-Williams (61'), Aspegren (90'), Ala-Myllymaki (90+1')
Mohammed (65')
Maenpaa (11' og.), Bashkirov (15')
Pitkanen (10'), Pikkarainen (61')
May 26, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 9
VPS
0-2
Ilves
Haarala (75'), Jukkola (88')
N'Diaye (77')
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 1
Ilves
2-3
VPS
Oteng (47'), Meriluoto (90+1')
Multanen (56', 58'), Vahtera (69')
Aug 6, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 17
VPS
3-0
Ilves
Multanen (19' pen.), Pikkarainen (27'), Pahkasalo (37')
Reid (83')

Manga (48'), Ngueukam (61')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Ilves
3-2
VPS
Meriluoto (7'), Almen (45'), Pennanen (49')
Siira (41')
Pitkanen (9', 88')
Vahtera (53'), Backaliden (83')