Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Lahti had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Lahti win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.