Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lahti win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Oulu had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lahti win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Oulu win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.