Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 62.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Oulu had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Oulu win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.