Champions League
Jul 23, 2024 4.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Stadio di Cornaredo
  • Sivert Gussias 39' yellowcard
  • goal Jesus Imaz 15'
  • goal Jesus Imaz 28'
  • goal Jesus Imaz 29'
  • goal Kristoffer Normann Hansen 80'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 83'

Panevezys vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Panevezys

All competitions

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Panevezys had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Panevezys win was 1-0 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result

Panevezys 28.49% (-0.56)
Draw 25.12% (-0.27)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 46.4% (+0.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.34% (+0.48)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.22% (+0.79)
Under 2.5 48.78% (-0.79)
Over 3.5 29.12% (+0.72)
Under 3.5 70.88% (-0.72)
Over 4.5 14.06% (+0.49)
Under 4.5 85.93% (-0.49)

Panevezys Goals

Over 0.5 68.83% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 31.17%
Over 1.5 32.49% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 67.51%

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 78.95% (+0.70)
Under 0.5 21.05% (-0.69)
Over 1.5 46.15% (+1.07)
Under 1.5 53.85% (-1.07)

Score analysis

Panevezys 28.49%
Draw 25.11%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 46.39%
Panevezys
1-0 @ 7.65% (-0.25)
2-1 @ 6.95% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.46% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 2.7% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.1% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.73% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 28.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.22)
2-2 @ 5.41% (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.09% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.11%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
0-1 @ 10.22% (-0.12)
1-2 @ 9.29% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 7.97% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 4.82% (+0.15)
0-3 @ 4.14% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.81% (+0.09)
1-4 @ 1.88% (+0.10)
0-4 @ 1.61% (+0.09)
2-4 @ 1.1% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 46.39%