Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5
Aug 17, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Zaglebia Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin
0 - 1
Lech Poznan


Grzybek (45+1'), Radwanski (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sousa (19')
Ba Loua (27'), Pereira (50'), Gurgul (90+6')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Zaglebie Lubin and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gdansk 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin
Sunday, August 11 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 0-0 Lech Poznan
Friday, August 9 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zaglebie Lubin win with a probability of 37.51%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zaglebie Lubin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
Zaglebie LubinDrawLech Poznan
37.51% (-0.289 -0.29)26.6% (0.328 0.33)35.89% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 52.22% (-1.096 -1.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.28% (-1.391 -1.39)52.72% (1.386 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.64% (-1.202 -1.2)74.35% (1.197 1.2)
Zaglebie Lubin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (-0.82000000000001 -0.82)27.26% (0.814 0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (-1.075 -1.08)62.69% (1.068 1.07)
Lech Poznan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.79% (-0.696 -0.7)28.21% (0.69 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.09% (-0.886 -0.89)63.91% (0.881 0.88)
Score Analysis
    Zaglebie Lubin 37.51%
    Lech Poznan 35.9%
    Draw 26.59%
Zaglebie LubinDrawLech Poznan
1-0 @ 10% (0.315 0.32)
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.5% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.122 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.068 -0.07)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 37.51%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 7.69% (0.412 0.41)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 9.73% (0.342 0.34)
1-2 @ 8% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.1 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.38% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 35.9%

Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 20
Lech Poznan
2-0
Zaglebie Lubin
Szymczak (3'), Murawski (72')
Marchwinski (37'), Salamon (46'), Szymczak (63'), Andersson (86')

Poletanovic (52'), Kopacz (71')
Aug 6, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Zaglebie Lubin
1-1
Lech Poznan
Kurminowski (41')
Pienko (45+2'), Kludka (45+4'), Dabrowski (60'), Chodyna (67')
Blazic (76')
Milic (48'), Ishak (50'), Bednarek (54')
Murawski (50')
rhs 2.0


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