Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 6
Aug 25, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Stadion ul. Bukowa

Katowice
3 - 1
Jagiellonia

Blad (2'), Kowalczyk (73'), Repka (90+7')
Kowalczyk (65'), Zreľak (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pululu (18')
Diaby-Fadiga (58')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Katowice and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Katowice

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Katowice 0-0 Motor Lublin
Friday, August 16 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-4 Ajax
Thursday, August 22 at 7.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Katowice win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Katowice win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Katowice would win this match.

Result
KatowiceDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
44.64% (-0.372 -0.37)24.12% (0.077999999999999 0.08)31.24% (0.298 0.3)
Both teams to score 59.34% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.06% (-0.218 -0.22)42.94% (0.221 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.65% (-0.217 -0.22)65.35% (0.22 0.22)
Katowice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)19.43% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.73% (-0.404 -0.4)51.26% (0.407 0.41)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.66% (0.082999999999998 0.08)26.34% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.51% (0.108 0.11)61.49% (-0.103 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Katowice 44.64%
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 31.24%
    Draw 24.12%
KatowiceDrawJagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.39% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.87% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.54% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 44.64%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.12% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.12%
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.048 0.05)
0-1 @ 6.83% (0.082 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.32% (0.029 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.033 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 31.24%