Europa League
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
-
Adrian Dieguez
5'
-
Adrian Dieguez
69'
-
Chuba Akpom
10'
-
Mika Godts
27'
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Kenneth Taylor
48'
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Jorrel Hato
55'
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Chuba Akpom
61'
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Chuba Akpom
69'
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.84%) and 0-2 (5.11%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok
31.69%
Draw
21.16%
▲
(+0.01)
Ajax
47.14%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
70.72%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
71.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
28.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
51.04%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
48.95%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
31.71%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
68.29%
▲
(+0.04)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5
81.1%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
18.89%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
49.62%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
50.38%
▲
(+0.03)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
87.2%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
12.8%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
60.89%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
39.11%
▲
(+0.03)
Score analysis
Jagiellonia Bialystok
31.69%
Draw
21.16%
Ajax
47.14%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1
@
6.9%
▲
(+0.01)
1-0 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 31.69%
1-0 @ 4.03% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 3.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.87% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
4-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 31.69%
Draw
1-1
@
8.28%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 21.16%
2-2 @ 7.09% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 21.16%
Ajax
1-2
@
8.52%
▲
(+0.01)
1-3 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.8%
3-4 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 47.14%
1-3 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 5.11% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 2.5% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.8%
3-4 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.01)
1-5 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 47.14%