Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5

Aug 17, 2024 at 1.45pm UK

Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
2 - 4
Cracovia

Diaby-Fadiga (12'), Kubicki (26')
Moutinho (79')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Kallman (3', 54'), Jugas (30'), Bochnak (90+4')
Kucharczyk (79'), Atanasov (90+3')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and KS Cracovia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Polish Ekstraklasa

Last Game: Bodo/Glimt 4-1 Jagiellonia
Tuesday, August 13 at 6pm in Champions League

Goals
for

KS Cracovia

All competitions

Last Game: Korona Kielce 0-2 Cracovia
Saturday, August 10 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 59.33%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a KS Cracovia win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	KS Cracovia
59.33% ( -0.38)	23.01% ( 0.33)	17.67% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 47.71% (

-0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.99% (

-1.27)

51.01% (

1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.12% (

-1.13)

72.87% (

1.13)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.14% (

-0.58)

16.86% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.12% (

-1.04)

46.88% (

1.04)

KS Cracovia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.39% (

-0.7)

42.61% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.04% (

-0.61)

78.96% (

0.6)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 59.31%

KS Cracovia 17.67%

Draw 23.01%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	KS Cracovia
1-0 @ 12.78% ( 0.4) 2-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.82% Total : 59.31%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.01%	0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.77% Total : 17.67%