Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Stadion ul. Bukowa
Rakow

Katowice
0 - 1
Rakow

FT(HT: 0-1)
Carlos (29')
Braut Brunes (70'), Trelowski (90+4')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Katowice and Rakow Czestochowa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-1 Katowice
Saturday, July 27 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 0-1 Cracovia
Monday, July 29 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 30.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Katowice win was 1-0 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rakow Czestochowa in this match.

Result
KatowiceDrawRakow Czestochowa
30.24% (-0.103 -0.1)25.12% (-0.358 -0.36)44.64% (0.46 0.46)
Both teams to score 55.42% (1.121 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.15% (1.485 1.49)47.85% (-1.487 -1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96% (1.351 1.35)70.03% (-1.353 -1.35)
Katowice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.55% (0.681 0.68)29.45% (-0.682 -0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.55% (0.825 0.82)65.45% (-0.82600000000001 -0.83)
Rakow Czestochowa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.55% (0.839 0.84)21.45% (-0.839 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.53% (1.274 1.27)54.47% (-1.274 -1.27)
Score Analysis
    Katowice 30.24%
    Rakow Czestochowa 44.64%
    Draw 25.11%
KatowiceDrawRakow Czestochowa
1-0 @ 7.72% (-0.334 -0.33)
2-1 @ 7.27% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.102 0.1)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.91% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.24%
1-1 @ 11.88% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.399 -0.4)
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.149 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.08 0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 9.72% (-0.347 -0.35)
1-2 @ 9.15% (0.074 0.07)
0-2 @ 7.48% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.154 0.15)
0-3 @ 3.84% (0.055 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.87% (0.146 0.15)
1-4 @ 1.81% (0.102 0.1)
0-4 @ 1.48% (0.057 0.06)
2-4 @ 1.11% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 44.64%

rhs 2.0


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