Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 9
Sep 20, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
1 - 0
Legia

Gorgon (67')
Borges (82'), Wahlqvist (90+5'), Cojocaru (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Celhaka (57'), Jedrzejczyk (90+5')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cracovia 2-1 Szczecin
Saturday, September 14 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Legia 0-1 Rakow
Sunday, September 15 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Legia Warsaw had a probability of 32.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawLegia Warsaw
43.15% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.36%
Both teams to score 58.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)44.17% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.45% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)66.55% (0.012 0.01)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)20.58% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.24% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)61.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 43.15%
    Legia Warsaw 32.36%
    Draw 24.48%
Pogon SzczecinDrawLegia Warsaw
2-1 @ 9.03%
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 43.15%
1-1 @ 11.42%
2-2 @ 6.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 7.64%
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.16%
1-4 @ 1.14%
2-4 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.36%

Head to Head
Mar 2, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 23
Legia
1-1
Szczecin
Wszolek (49')
Pesqueira (74'), Pekhart (90+4')
Koulouris (60')
Wahlqvist (58'), Koutris (90+2')
Sep 27, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Szczecin
3-4
Legia
Grosicki (29'), Koulouris (51'), Bichakhchyan (71')
Gorgon (58'), Stolarski (90+2'), Stolarski (90+3')
Pekhart (33'), Wszolek (69'), Elitim (78'), Kapuadi (84')
Kapuadi (42')
Jedrzejczyk (45+4')
rhs 2.0


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