Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 7
Sep 1, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
5 - 2
Motor Lublin

Kapustka (30', 69'), Wszolek (36' pen.), Alfarela (48'), Nsame (90+2')
Goncalves (4'), Feio (5'), Luquinhas (45+4'), Vinagre (53'), Augustyniak (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rudol (9'), Jacques Ndiaye (90')
Stolarski (0'), Jacques Ndiaye (40'), Rudol (45+1'), Ceglarz (56')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Motor Lublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Drita 0-1 Legia
Thursday, August 29 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Motor Lublin 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Saturday, August 24 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Motor Lublin win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawMotor Lublin
58.62% (0.074000000000005 0.07)23.08% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)18.3% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.64% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)50.37% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.69% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)72.31% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.12% (0.019999999999996 0.02)16.88% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.09% (0.034999999999997 0.03)46.91% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.52% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)41.48% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.02% (-0.067 -0.07)77.98% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 58.62%
    Motor Lublin 18.3%
    Draw 23.07%
Legia WarsawDrawMotor Lublin
1-0 @ 12.45% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 11.08% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.57% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.92% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 58.62%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 23.07%
0-1 @ 6.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.82% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.26% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 18.3%