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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
2 - 0
Drita

Kramer (56'), Gual (83')
Jedrzejczyk (25'), Vinagre (41'), Pekhart (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dabiqaj (14'), Manaj (90+2')
Gomda (31')
Coverage of the Conference League Playoffs clash between Legia Warsaw and Drita.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Legia 4-1 Radomiak Radom
Sunday, August 18 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Drita

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Drita 3-1 Auda
Thursday, August 15 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Drita had a probability of 18.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Drita win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawDrita
57.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.7% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)18.68% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 47.49% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (0.038000000000004 0.04)52.27% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (0.035 0.04)73.97% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)17.93% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.26% (0.024999999999999 0.02)48.74% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Drita Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.86% (0.029000000000003 0.03)42.14% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.44% (0.024999999999999 0.02)78.56% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 57.61%
    Drita 18.68%
    Draw 23.7%
Legia WarsawDrawDrita
1-0 @ 12.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 11.16%
2-1 @ 9.64% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 6.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 57.61%
1-1 @ 11.22%
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.53% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.85% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.2% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 18.68%

How you voted: Legia vs Drita

Legia Warsaw
87.5%
Draw
9.4%
Drita
3.1%
32
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2020 7.30pm
Third Qualifying Round
Legia
2-0
Drita
Wszolek (24'), Pekhart (43')
Wieteska (18'), Wszolek (88')

Namani (59')