Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 6pm UK
Brondby Stadion

Brondby
2 - 3
Legia

Kristensen (19'), Kvistgaarden (36')
Wass (65')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pekhart (24'), Luquinhas (70'), Morishita (87')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Brondby and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 38.83%. A win for Brondby had a probability of 38% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.28%) and 0-2 (5.15%). The likeliest Brondby win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
BrondbyDrawLegia Warsaw
38% (-6.724 -6.72)23.16% (-0.957 -0.96)38.83% (7.678 7.68)
Both teams to score 64.72% (5.414 5.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.34% (6.312 6.31)36.66% (-6.314 -6.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.18% (6.554 6.55)58.82% (-6.557 -6.56)
Brondby Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25% (-0.33699999999999 -0.34)19.74% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22% (-0.551 -0.55)51.77% (0.547 0.55)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (7.051 7.05)19.36% (-7.056 -7.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.85% (10.43 10.43)51.14% (-10.434 -10.43)
Score Analysis
    Brondby 38%
    Legia Warsaw 38.83%
    Draw 23.16%
BrondbyDrawLegia Warsaw
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.913 -0.91)
1-0 @ 6.2% (-2.204 -2.2)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-1.86 -1.86)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.546 -0.55)
3-2 @ 3.67% (0.33 0.33)
3-0 @ 2.72% (-1.046 -1.05)
4-1 @ 1.81% (-0.243 -0.24)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.119 0.12)
4-0 @ 1.1% (-0.44 -0.44)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 38%
1-1 @ 10.18% (-1 -1)
2-2 @ 6.78% (0.676 0.68)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-1.304 -1.3)
3-3 @ 2.01% (0.526 0.53)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.16%
1-2 @ 8.36% (0.912 0.91)
0-1 @ 6.28% (-0.549 -0.55)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.61 0.61)
1-3 @ 4.58% (1.271 1.27)
2-3 @ 3.71% (1.003 1)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.804 0.8)
1-4 @ 1.88% (0.778 0.78)
2-4 @ 1.52% (0.622 0.62)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.487 0.49)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 38.83%

How you voted: Brondby vs Legia

Brondby
50.0%
Draw
28.6%
Legia Warsaw
21.4%
28