Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Korona Kielce had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Korona Kielce win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Legia Warsaw in this match.