Conference League
Jul 25, 2024 7.45pm
6
0
HT :
2
0
FT
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
-
Marc Gual
22'
-
Stephen McMullan
44'
-
Marc Gual
48'
-
Marc Gual
53'
-
Blaz Kramer
71'
-
Claude Goncalves
90'+3'
-
Paulo Mendes
33'
-
Phil Mooney
67'
Legia Warsaw vs Caernarfon Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 13.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 3-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.76%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
Result
Legia Warsaw
68.96%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
17.27%
▼
(-0.06)
Caernarfon Town
13.78%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
58.24%
▲
(+0.20)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.32%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 2.5
32.68%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 3.5
45.64%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 3.5
54.36%
▼
(-0.30)
Over 4.5
26.85%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 4.5
73.15%
▼
(-0.27)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5
91.4%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 0.5
8.59%
▼
(-0.09)
Over 1.5
70.31%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
29.69%
▼
(-0.20)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5
63.72%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
36.28%
▼
(-0.16)
Over 1.5
26.93%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 1.5
73.07%
▼
(-0.16)
Score analysis
Legia Warsaw
68.96%
Draw
17.27%
Caernarfon Town
13.78%
Legia Warsaw
2-1
@
9.52%
▼
(-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.22%
Total : 68.96%
2-0 @ 9.39% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.79% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.68% ▼ (-0.02)
1-0 @ 7.65% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 4.78% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 4.71% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.95% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 2.42% ▲ (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.35% ▲ (+0.03)
5-0 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.02)
5-2 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.22%
Total : 68.96%
Draw
1-1
@
7.76%
▼
(-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.27%
2-2 @ 4.83% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 17.27%
Caernarfon Town
1-2
@
3.93%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 13.78%
0-1 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 13.78%