Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 5

Aug 18, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Legia
4 - 1
Radomiak Radom

Kramer (38' pen.), Kapustka (45+3'), Gual (70' pen.), Urbanski (90')
Kramer (58'), Alves (85')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Capita (61')
Rossi (67'), Jakubik (67'), Raphael (68'), Urbanski (84')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Legia Warsaw and Radomiak Radom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions

Polish Ekstraklasa

Last Game: Legia 1-1 Brondby
Thursday, August 15 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Radomiak Radom

All competitions

Last Game: Radomiak Radom 1-2 Gornik
Friday, August 9 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 23.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Radomiak Radom win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Legia Warsaw	Draw	Radomiak Radom
51.65% ( 0.18)	24.36% ( -0.03)	23.99% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 52.76% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.03% (

-0.01)

48.96% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.95% (

-0.01)

71.05% (

0.01)

Legia Warsaw Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.05% (

0.06)

18.94% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.54% (

0.11)

50.46% (

-0.11)

Radomiak Radom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.09% (

-0.14)

34.9% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.35% (

-0.15)

71.64% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Legia Warsaw 51.65%

Radomiak Radom 23.99%

Draw 24.35%

Legia Warsaw	Draw	Radomiak Radom
1-0 @ 11% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.65%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.35%	0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 23.99%