Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 4
Aug 11, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego

Puszcza Niepolomice
2 - 2
Legia

Craciun (17' pen.), Blagaic (41')
Blagaic (32'), Siplak (40')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Morishita (14'), Kramer (22')
Augustyniak (83')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Puszcza Niepolomice and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Puszcza Niepolomice

All competitions
Last Game: Zaglebie Lubin 1-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, August 2 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Brondby 2-3 Legia
Thursday, August 8 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 26.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.78%). The likeliest Puszcza Niepolomice win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Puszcza NiepolomiceDrawLegia Warsaw
26.74% (-0.792 -0.79)26.18% (-0.525 -0.52)47.07% (1.314 1.31)
Both teams to score 49.79% (0.967 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.88% (1.529 1.53)54.11% (-1.533 -1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.46% (1.266 1.27)75.53% (-1.269 -1.27)
Puszcza Niepolomice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65% (0.179 0.18)35.35% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (0.184 0.18)72.11% (-0.19 -0.19)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.02% (1.282 1.28)22.98% (-1.286 -1.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.23% (1.853 1.85)56.77% (-1.856 -1.86)
Score Analysis
    Puszcza Niepolomice 26.74%
    Legia Warsaw 47.07%
    Draw 26.18%
Puszcza NiepolomiceDrawLegia Warsaw
1-0 @ 8.45% (-0.474 -0.47)
2-1 @ 6.46% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.39% (-0.224 -0.22)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.05 0.05)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 26.74%
1-1 @ 12.42% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 8.12% (-0.498 -0.5)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 11.94% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 9.13% (0.188 0.19)
0-2 @ 8.78% (0.138 0.14)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.255 0.26)
0-3 @ 4.31% (0.224 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.143 0.14)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.151 0.15)
0-4 @ 1.58% (0.138 0.14)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 47.07%

Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 21
Legia
1-1
Puszcza Niepolomice
Rosolek (86')
Burch (39'), Pesqueira (76'), Jedrzejczyk (77')
Koj (42')
Mrozinski (29'), Zapolnik (75'), Bartosz (76')
Aug 13, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 4
Puszcza Niepolomice
1-1
Legia
Solowiej (26')
Tulacz (43'), Zapolnik (50'), Yakuba (73'), Stepien (74'), Hajda (80'), Craciun (87')
Pesqueira (34')
Jedrzejczyk (42'), Rosolek (72')