Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Piast Gliwice win with a probability of 58.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 18.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Piast Gliwice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.