Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 9
Sep 21, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski

Jagiellonia
3 - 2
Gdansk

Silva (13'), Imaz (71'), Skrzypczak (75' pen.)
Sacek (84'), Moutinho (90+5'), Kubicki (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
V'Yunnik (16'), Khlan (59')
Olsson (46'), V'Yunnik (69')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Lechia Gdansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 5-0 Jagiellonia
Saturday, September 14 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Last Game: Gdansk 1-0 Radomiak Radom
Saturday, September 14 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-2 (6.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawLechia Gdansk
53.54% (0.061 0.06)22.7% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)23.76% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 57.96% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (0.086999999999996 0.09)41.95% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.64% (0.085999999999999 0.09)64.35% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (0.051000000000002 0.05)15.66% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.3% (0.096999999999994 0.1)44.7% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73% (0.016999999999996 0.02)31.27% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (0.018999999999998 0.02)67.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Jagiellonia Bialystok 53.54%
    Lechia Gdansk 23.76%
    Draw 22.7%
Jagiellonia BialystokDrawLechia Gdansk
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 9.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.8% (0.011 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.41% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 53.54%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 23.76%