Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rakow Czestochowa win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rakow Czestochowa win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rakow Czestochowa would win this match.