Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Sep 14, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Stadion Energa Gdansk

Gdansk
1 - 0
Radomiak Radom

Mena (59' pen.)
Grabowski (7'), Pila (29'), V'Yunnik (38'), Conrado (50'), Weirauch (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Henrique (6'), Jordao (90+2')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lechia Gdansk and Radomiak Radom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Last Game: Gornik 2-3 Gdansk
Sunday, September 1 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Radomiak Radom

All competitions
Last Game: Radomiak Radom 2-1 Cracovia
Saturday, August 31 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 42.5%. A win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Radomiak Radom win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lechia Gdansk in this match.

Result
Lechia GdanskDrawRadomiak Radom
42.5% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)25.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.25% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Both teams to score 55.91% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.38% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)47.62% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.17% (0.004999999999999 0)69.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.65% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)22.35% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.17% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)55.83% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Radomiak Radom Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72% (0.040000000000006 0.04)27.99% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.36% (0.054000000000002 0.05)63.64% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lechia Gdansk 42.5%
    Radomiak Radom 32.25%
    Draw 25.24%
Lechia GdanskDrawRadomiak Radom
1-0 @ 9.37% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.02% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 42.5%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.07% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 32.25%