Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 7
Sep 1, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Arena Zabrze

Gornik
2 - 3
Gdansk

Olkowski (54'), Nascimento (82')
Rasak (7'), Ismaheel (56')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tsarenko (24'), Olsson (28'), V'Yunnik (68')
Weirauch (77'), Kalahur (86')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Gornik Zabrze and Lechia Gdansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Cracovia 3-2 Gornik
Saturday, August 24 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Last Game: Gdansk 1-2 Rakow
Friday, August 23 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Gornik ZabrzeDrawLechia Gdansk
47.87% (0.143 0.14)25.7% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)26.43% (-0.105 -0.11)
Both teams to score 50.97% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.54% (0.073999999999998 0.07)52.46% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.87% (0.064 0.06)74.13% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (0.094999999999999 0.09)21.92% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (0.142 0.14)55.19% (-0.14 -0.14)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.28% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)34.72% (0.046000000000006 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.55% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)71.44% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Gornik Zabrze 47.87%
    Lechia Gdansk 26.43%
    Draw 25.7%
Gornik ZabrzeDrawLechia Gdansk
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.69% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.43% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.0059999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 47.87%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.61% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.05% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.26% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 26.43%