Europa League
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-
Jordan Henderson
32'
-
Kian Fitz-Jim
43'
-
Kenneth Taylor
64'
-
Brian Brobbey
71'
-
Taras Romanczuk
30'
Ajax vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 13.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
Result
Ajax
69.62%
▼
(-0.02)
Draw
17.21%
▲
(+0.01)
Jagiellonia Bialystok
13.17%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
56.57%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.06%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
33.94%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
44.2%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
55.8%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
25.62%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
74.38%
▼
(-0.02)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
91.23%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
8.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
69.88%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
30.12%
Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals
Over 0.5
62.02%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
37.98%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
25.25%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
74.75%
▼
(-0.03)
Score analysis
Ajax
69.62%
Draw
17.21%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
13.17%
Ajax
2-0
@
9.87%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.75%
4-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.95%
Total : 69.62%
2-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.11% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.75%
4-0 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.71%
3-2 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 2.3%
4-2 @ 2.28% ▲ (+0.01)
5-2 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.95%
Total : 69.62%
Draw
1-1
@
7.85%
2-2 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.21%
2-2 @ 4.62% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 17.21%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-2
@
3.8%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.23%
0-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 13.17%
0-1 @ 3.23%
0-2 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 13.17%
Head to Head
Europa League
-
Adrian Dieguez
5'
-
Adrian Dieguez
69'
-
Chuba Akpom
10'
-
Mika Godts
27'
-
Kenneth Taylor
48'
-
Jorrel Hato
55'
-
Chuba Akpom
61'
-
Chuba Akpom
69'