Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.