Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jagiellonia Bialystok win with a probability of 44.72%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jagiellonia Bialystok would win this match.

Result
Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Widzew Lodz
44.72% ( 0.05)	24.44% ( -0.01)	30.84% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 58.04% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.43% (

0.04)

44.57% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.06% (

0.04)

66.94% (

-0.04)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.94% (

0.04)

20.05% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.72% (

0.06)

52.27% (

-0.07)

Widzew Lodz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.59% (

-0)

27.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.12% (

-0.01)

62.88% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Jagiellonia Bialystok 44.72%

Widzew Lodz 30.84%

Draw 24.44%

Jagiellonia Bialystok	Draw	Widzew Lodz
2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 44.72%	1-1 @ 11.43% 2-2 @ 5.94% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.44%	1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 30.84%