Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8

Sep 14, 2024 at 7.15pm UK

Stadion MOS Poznan

Lech Poznan
5 - 0
Jagiellonia

Sousa (25'), Hotic (41'), Szymczak (81' pen.), Haliti (87' og.), Jagiello (90+3')
Milic (36')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Nene (42'), Haliti (79')
Dieguez (38')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-2 Lech Poznan
Friday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions

Polish Ekstraklasa

Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-0 Widzew Lodz
Sunday, September 1 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
57.25% ( 0.04)	21.96% ( 0)	20.78% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 56.35% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.83% (

-0.07)

42.16% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.43% (

-0.07)

64.56% (

0.07)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.49% (

-0.01)

14.51% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.48% (

-0.02)

42.51% (

0.02)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.92% (

-0.08)

34.08% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.23% (

-0.09)

70.76% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 57.25%

Jagiellonia Bialystok 20.78%

Draw 21.96%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Jagiellonia Bialystok
2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 57.25%	1-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.96%	1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 20.78%