Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 8
Sep 14, 2024 7.15pm
5
0
HT : 2 1
FT Stadion MOS Poznan
  • Afonso Sousa 25' goal
  • Antonio Milic 36' yellowcard
  • Dino Hotic 41' goal
  • Filip Szymczak 81' goal
  • Jetmir Haliti 87' goal
  • Filip Jagiello 90'+3' goal
  • goal 15'
  • redcard Adrian Dieguez 38'
  • yellowcard Nene 42'
  • yellowcard Jetmir Haliti 79'

Lech Poznan vs Jagiellonia Bialystok - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Aug 30, 2024 7.30pm
Stal Mielec 0 - 2 Lech Poznan
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Mikael Ishak

Jagiellonia Bialystok

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 1, 2024 7.15pm
Jagiellonia 1 - 0 Widzew Lodz
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Jesus Imaz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 57.25%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 20.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result

Lech Poznan 57.25% (+0.04)
Draw 21.96% (+0.01)
Jagiellonia Bialystok 20.78% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.35% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.83% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 42.16% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 35.43% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 64.56% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 18.59% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 81.4% (+0.05)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5 85.49% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 14.51% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 57.48% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 42.51% (+0.02)

Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals

Over 0.5 65.92% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 34.08% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 29.23% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 70.76% (+0.09)

Score analysis

Lech Poznan 57.25%
Draw 21.96%
Jagiellonia Bialystok 20.78%
Lech Poznan
2-1 @ 9.92% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.54% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.21% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.93% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.44% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.86% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 57.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.27% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.94% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.96%
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-2 @ 5.53% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.32% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.86% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 20.78%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 21
Feb 17, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadion Miejski
  • Adrian Dieguez 67' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Normann Hansen 82' goal
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Velde 14'
  • goal Filip Marchwinski 18'
  • goal Filip Szymczak 30'
  • yellowcard Joel Pereira 90'+7'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 4
Oct 24, 2023 5.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 0
FT INEA stadion
  • Adriel Ba Loua 2' goal
  • 3' goal
  • Mikael Ishak 43' goal
  • Adriel Ba Loua 48' yellowcard
  • Adriel Ba Loua 51' goal
  • Filip Marchwinski 55' yellowcard
  • Elias Andersson 64' yellowcard
  • Alan Czerwinski 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Kristoffer Velde 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Kristoffer Normann Hansen 54'
  • yellowcard Taras Romanczuk 63'
  • goal Mateusz Skrzypczak 66'
  • goal Bartlomiej Wdowik 90'+6'