Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 7

Aug 30, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
0 - 2
Lech Poznan

Bukowski (39'), Matras (86')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Hotic (32'), Ishak (37')
Kozubal (83')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions

Last Game: Korona Kielce 2-1 Stal Mielec
Monday, August 26 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Szczecin
Sunday, August 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Stal Mielec	Draw	Lech Poznan
27.28% ( 0.02)	25.3% ( 0.02)	47.42% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.9% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74% (

-0.05)

50.26% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.79% (

-0.05)

72.21% (

0.05)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14% (

-0.01)

32.86% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57% (

-0.01)

69.43% (

0.01)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.79% (

-0.04)

21.21% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.9% (

-0.06)

54.1% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Stal Mielec 27.28%

Lech Poznan 47.41%

Draw 25.29%

Stal Mielec	Draw	Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.48% 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.28%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.29%	0-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 47.41%