Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 6
Aug 26, 2024 at 6pm UK
Kolporter Arena

Korona Kielce
2 - 1
Stal Mielec

Nuno (49' pen.), Blanik (90+2')
Dlugosz (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Domanski (86')
Hinokio (22')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Korona Kielce and Stal Mielec.

Form, Standings, Stats

Korona Kielce

All competitions
Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Korona Kielce
Sunday, August 18 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-0 Piast Gliwice
Monday, August 19 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Korona Kielce win with a probability of 50.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 24.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Korona Kielce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Stal Mielec win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Korona Kielce would win this match.

Result
Korona KielceDrawStal Mielec
50.12% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)25.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)24.76% (0.137 0.14)
Both teams to score 51.25% (0.225 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.64% (0.229 0.23)51.35% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.82% (0.202 0.2)73.17% (-0.197 -0.2)
Korona Kielce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (0.049999999999997 0.05)20.5% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01% (0.076000000000001 0.08)52.99% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.47% (0.246 0.25)35.53% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.7% (0.252 0.25)72.29% (-0.24799999999999 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Korona Kielce 50.12%
    Stal Mielec 24.76%
    Draw 25.11%
Korona KielceDrawStal Mielec
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.090000000000002 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.91% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 50.12%
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.11%
0-1 @ 7.54% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.18% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.13% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.76%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 27
Korona Kielce
1-0
Stal Mielec
Kwiecien (43')
Kwiecien (45+5'), Hofmeister (54'), Podgorski (74'), Lukowski (90')
Hofmeister (73')

Matras (45'), Esselink (45'), Pingot (48'), Wolkowicz (83')
Sep 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 10
Stal Mielec
2-3
Korona Kielce
Getinger (33' pen.), Esselink (90+4')
Ehmann (9'), Wlazlo (60')
Schikavko (20'), Remacle (22'), Konstantyn (74')
Godinho (15'), Remacle (34'), Podgorski (58'), Czyzycki (62')