Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 27
Apr 6, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
4 - 0
Katowice

Koulouris (45+6' pen., 49', 87'), Lukasiak (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kowalczyk (28')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Katowice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Last Game: Legia 0-0 Szczecin
Friday, March 28 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Katowice

All competitions
Last Game: Katowice 2-1 Gornik
Sunday, March 30 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 53.28%. A win for Katowice had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Katowice win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawKatowice
53.28% (-0.152 -0.15)22.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)24.44% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 60.22% (0.171 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.67% (0.148 0.15)39.34% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.33% (0.15300000000001 0.15)61.67% (-0.15 -0.15)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.17% (0.0019999999999953 0)14.83% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.87% (0.00099999999999767 0)43.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Katowice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (0.202 0.2)29.3% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.74% (0.245 0.24)65.26% (-0.24199999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 53.28%
    Katowice 24.44%
    Draw 22.29%
Pogon SzczecinDrawKatowice
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-0.055999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.79% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.13% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 53.28%
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.34% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 24.44%

Head to Head
Sep 27, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 10
Katowice
3-1
Szczecin
Jedrych (34'), Bergier (90+1'), Marzec (90+6')
Blad (53'), Bergier (85')
Gorgon (90+3')
Cojocaru (54'), Korczakowski (76'), Borges (85')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lech Poznan34224868313770
2Rakow CzestochowaRakow34209551232869
3Jagiellonia BialystokJagiellonia341710756421461
4Pogon SzczecinSzczecin341771059401958
5Legia WarsawLegia341591060451554
6KS CracoviaCracovia34149115853551
7Katowice34147134947249
8Motor Lublin34147134859-1149
9Gornik ZabrzeGornik34138134339447
10Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice341112113736145
11Korona Kielce341112113745-845
12Radomiak Radom34118154852-441
13Widzew Lodz34117163849-1140
14Lechia GdanskGdansk34107174459-1537
15Zaglebie Lubin34106183351-1836
16Stal Mielec34710173956-1731
17Slask Wroclaw34612163853-1530
18Puszcza Niepolomice34610183763-2628
> Polish Ekstraklasa Full Table


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