Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.64%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.