Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.