Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.