Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 18, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Energa Gdansk

Gdansk
0 - 2
Legia


Pllana (19')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Morishita (58'), Chodyna (63')
Urbanski (39'), Morishita (41')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lechia Gdansk and Legia Warsaw.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-1 Gdansk
Saturday, October 5 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 1-0 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.

Result
Lechia GdanskDrawLegia Warsaw
27.83% (0.516 0.52)24.48% (0.137 0.14)47.69% (-0.661 -0.66)
Both teams to score 55.97% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.57% (-0.253 -0.25)46.42% (0.245 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.29% (-0.238 -0.24)68.7% (0.23 0.23)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.56% (0.256 0.26)30.43% (-0.263 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.36% (0.306 0.31)66.64% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.45% (-0.374 -0.37)19.54% (0.365 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.55% (-0.60700000000001 -0.61)51.45% (0.6 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Lechia Gdansk 27.83%
    Legia Warsaw 47.69%
    Draw 24.48%
Lechia GdanskDrawLegia Warsaw
1-0 @ 7.08% (0.123 0.12)
2-1 @ 6.87% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.21% (0.103 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.055 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.67% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 27.83%
1-1 @ 11.55% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.062 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.48%
0-1 @ 9.71% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 7.93% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.13% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.31% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.76% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 47.69%

How you voted: Gdansk vs Legia

Lechia Gdansk
14.3%
Draw
0.0%
Legia Warsaw
85.7%
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