Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 10
Sep 27, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadion Energa Gdansk

Gdansk
1 - 1
Widzew Lodz

Kapic (44' pen.)
Khlan (17'), Conrado (71'), Olsson (73'), Zhelizko (80'), Kapic (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rondic (74' pen.)
Krajewski (30')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lechia Gdansk and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions
Last Game: Jagiellonia 3-2 Gdansk
Saturday, September 21 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 1-0 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, September 21 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lechia Gdansk win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lechia Gdansk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Lechia GdanskDrawWidzew Lodz
39.57% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)24.53% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)35.89% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 59.37% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.46% (0.042000000000002 0.04)43.53% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.07% (0.042000000000002 0.04)65.93% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Lechia Gdansk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.01% (0.0040000000000049 0)21.99% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.7% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)55.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (0.040999999999997 0.04)23.89% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9% (0.057000000000002 0.06)58.1% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Lechia Gdansk 39.58%
    Widzew Lodz 35.89%
    Draw 24.53%
Lechia GdanskDrawWidzew Lodz
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 7.96% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.12% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 11.39%
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.53%
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 5.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.89% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 35.89%