Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 11

Oct 5, 2024 at 11.15am UK

Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
2 - 1
Gdansk

Wlazlo (58'), Wolsztynski (90+2')
Knap (21'), Guillaumier (71')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Khlan (3'), Pila (38')
Pllana (12')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Lechia Gdansk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions

Last Game: Cracovia 1-1 Stal Mielec
Monday, September 30 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Lechia Gdansk

All competitions

Last Game: Gdansk 1-1 Widzew Lodz
Friday, September 27 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stal Mielec win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Lechia Gdansk had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stal Mielec win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Lechia Gdansk win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stal Mielec would win this match.

Result
Stal Mielec	Draw	Lechia Gdansk
38.17% ( 0)	25.32% ( 0.02)	36.51% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 56.61% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.87% (

-0.1)

47.13% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.63% (

-0.09)

69.37% (

0.09)

Stal Mielec Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.69% (

-0.05)

24.31% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.31% (

-0.06)

58.69% (

0.06)

Lechia Gdansk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.79% (

-0.06)

25.21% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.05% (

-0.08)

59.95% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Stal Mielec 38.17%

Lechia Gdansk 36.51%

Draw 25.31%

Stal Mielec	Draw	Lechia Gdansk
1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.17%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 36.51%