Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.