Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 9
Sep 22, 2024 at 11.15am UK
Stadion MOSiR

Stal Mielec
1 - 0
Motor Lublin

Krykun (50')
Assayag (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jacques Ndiaye (61')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Stal Mielec and Motor Lublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stal Mielec

All competitions
Last Game: Stal Mielec 0-2 Lech Poznan
Friday, August 30 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Last Game: Motor Lublin 1-0 Gornik
Friday, September 13 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Stal Mielec had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Stal Mielec win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Stal MielecDrawMotor Lublin
34.11% (0.107 0.11)26.43% (0.155 0.16)39.46% (-0.26499999999999 -0.26)
Both teams to score 52.54% (-0.485 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.78% (-0.631 -0.63)52.21% (0.627 0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.07% (-0.547 -0.55)73.92% (0.542 0.54)
Stal Mielec Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)29.06% (0.24 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (-0.299 -0.3)64.97% (0.295 0.3)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.06% (-0.432 -0.43)25.93% (0.428 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.06% (-0.585 -0.59)60.93% (0.582 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Stal Mielec 34.11%
    Motor Lublin 39.45%
    Draw 26.43%
Stal MielecDrawMotor Lublin
1-0 @ 9.31% (0.169 0.17)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.76% (0.067 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.2% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.37% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 34.11%
1-1 @ 12.57% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.54% (0.186 0.19)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.43%
0-1 @ 10.17% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 6.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.04% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 39.45%