Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 8
Sep 13, 2024 at 5pm UK
Slavutych-Arena

Motor Lublin
1 - 0
Gornik

Serge Simon (49')
Stolarski (22'), Jacques Ndiaye (43')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wojtuszek (21'), Ambros (84')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Gornik Zabrze.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Last Game: Legia 5-2 Motor Lublin
Sunday, September 1 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Last Game: Gornik 2-3 Gdansk
Sunday, September 1 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Gornik Zabrze had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Gornik Zabrze win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Motor Lublin in this match.

Result
Motor LublinDrawGornik Zabrze
43.79% (0.088999999999999 0.09)26.33% (-0.026 -0.03)29.88% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 51.35% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.94% (0.082999999999998 0.08)53.06% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.36% (0.071000000000002 0.07)74.65% (-0.068999999999988 -0.07)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.92% (0.081000000000003 0.08)24.09% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.63% (0.113 0.11)58.37% (-0.111 -0.11)
Gornik Zabrze Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.64%32.37% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)68.88%
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 43.78%
    Gornik Zabrze 29.88%
    Draw 26.32%
Motor LublinDrawGornik Zabrze
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.39% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.33% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 43.78%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.32%
0-1 @ 8.79% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.88%