Europa Conference League header WWW

UEFA Conference League

Conference League | League Stage
Oct 3, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Real Betis logo

Legia
1 - 0
Betis

Kapuadi (23')
Luquinhas (26'), Oyedele (76'), Wszolek (79'), Kapuadi (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cardoso (61'), Ruibal (80'), Natan (90+2'), Perraud (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Legia Warsaw and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Legia Warsaw

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Legia 1-1 Gornik
Saturday, September 28 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Real Betis

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Betis 1-0 Espanyol
Sunday, September 29 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 32.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Legia Warsaw in this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawReal Betis
42.26% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)25.69% (-0.25 -0.25)32.05% (0.256 0.26)
Both teams to score 54.35% (0.91 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.38% (1.132 1.13)49.61% (-1.135 -1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.36% (1.008 1.01)71.63% (-1.011 -1.01)
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67% (0.491 0.49)23.33% (-0.494 -0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72% (0.711 0.71)57.28% (-0.71299999999999 -0.71)
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89% (0.735 0.73)29.11% (-0.738 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.96% (0.898 0.9)65.03% (-0.90000000000001 -0.9)
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 42.26%
    Real Betis 32.05%
    Draw 25.68%
Legia WarsawDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.307 -0.31)
2-1 @ 8.88% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.1 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.57% (0.05 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.27% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 42.26%
1-1 @ 12.19% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.319 -0.32)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.13 0.13)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.216 -0.22)
1-2 @ 7.53% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 0.96% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.05%

How you voted: Legia vs Betis

Legia Warsaw
20.0%
Draw
23.3%
Real Betis
56.7%
60