Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 14
Nov 2, 2024 4.30pm
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Arena Lublin
  • Michal Krol 8' goal
  • Samuel Mraz 28' goal
  • Sergi Samper 31' yellowcard
  • Michal Krol 38' goal
  • Christopher Serge Simon 41' yellowcard
  • Pawel Stolarski 48' yellowcard
  • Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 75' goal
  • yellowcard Leo Borges 23'
  • goal Kamil Grosicki 37'
  • goal Vahan Bichakhchyan 63'
  • yellowcard Kamil Grosicki 65'

Motor Lublin vs Pogon Szczecin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 1.45pm
Cracovia 6 - 2 Motor Lublin
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Samuel Mraz

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Oct 25, 2024 7.30pm
Szczecin 2 - 1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Efthymios Koulouris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result

Motor Lublin 31.69% (-0.04)
Draw 24.78% (-0.03)
Pogon Szczecin 43.53% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.25% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.22% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 45.78% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 31.9% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 68.1% (-0.08)
Over 4.5 16% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 83.99% (-0.06)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5 72.54% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 27.45% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 37.06% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 62.94% (-0.02)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5 78.91% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 21.09% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 46.09% (+0.10)
Under 1.5 53.91% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 31.69%
Draw 24.78%
Pogon Szczecin 43.53%
Motor Lublin
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.48% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 4.84% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.24% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.53% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 31.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.86% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.79% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.31% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.78%
Pogon Szczecin
1-2 @ 9.07% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 9.01% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 7.01% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.7% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.64% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.04% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.83% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.53%