Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.