Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 14

Nov 2, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
4 - 2
Szczecin

Krol (8', 38'), Mraz (28'), Jacques Ndiaye (75')
Samper (31'), Serge Simon (41'), Stolarski (48')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Grosicki (37'), Bichakhchyan (63')
Borges (23'), Grosicki (65')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Pogon Szczecin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions

Last Game: Cracovia 6-2 Motor Lublin
Saturday, October 26 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Pogon Szczecin

All competitions

Last Game: Szczecin 2-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Friday, October 25 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 2-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Motor Lublin	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
31.69% ( -0.04)	24.78% ( -0.02)	43.53% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 57.25% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.22% (

0.08)

45.78% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.9% (

0.07)

68.1% (

-0.07)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

0.01)

27.45% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.06% (

0.02)

62.94% (

-0.02)

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.91% (

0.06)

21.09% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.09% (

0.09)

53.91% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Motor Lublin 31.69%

Pogon Szczecin 43.53%

Draw 24.78%

Motor Lublin	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.08% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.69%	1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.78%	1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 43.53%