Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin
3 - 4
Widzew Lodz

Ceglarz (1'), Rudol (14'), Welniak (86')
Serge Simon (39')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Mraz (22' og.), Rondic (24', 42'), Alvarez (56')
Sypek (48'), Shehu (90'), Rondic (90+7')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Motor Lublin and Widzew Lodz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-2 Motor Lublin
Saturday, October 5 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Widzew Lodz

All competitions
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 0-1 Korona Kielce
Friday, October 4 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Widzew Lodz win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Widzew Lodz would win this match.

Result
Motor LublinDrawWidzew Lodz
35.31% (0.265 0.27)25.56% (0.02 0.02)39.12% (-0.287 -0.29)
Both teams to score 55.62% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.65% (-0.055 -0.05)48.35% (0.052 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (-0.052 -0.05)70.49% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52% (0.13 0.13)26.47% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.34% (0.174 0.17)61.65% (-0.176 -0.18)
Widzew Lodz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64% (-0.175 -0.17)24.35% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24% (-0.248 -0.25)58.75% (0.244 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Motor Lublin 35.31%
    Widzew Lodz 39.12%
    Draw 25.56%
Motor LublinDrawWidzew Lodz
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 5.69% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 3.56% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 35.31%
1-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.45% (0.013 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 9.11% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.43% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.03% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 39.12%