Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 13
Oct 26, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Moravski Stadion

Cracovia
6 - 2
Motor Lublin

Kristjan Olafsson (6', 44', 72'), Kallman (77', 80'), Bochnak (86')
Atanasov (39'), Hasic (41'), Skovgaard (76')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Stolarski (1'), Scalet (8')
Rudol (49'), Samper (61'), Ceglarz (69')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between KS Cracovia and Motor Lublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

KS Cracovia

All competitions
Last Game: Cracovia 0-2 Lech Poznan
Saturday, October 19 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Last Game: Motor Lublin 3-4 Widzew Lodz
Saturday, October 19 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KS Cracovia win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a KS Cracovia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KS Cracovia would win this match.

Result
KS CracoviaDrawMotor Lublin
38.18% (0.257 0.26)26.29% (0.182 0.18)35.52% (-0.434 -0.43)
Both teams to score 53.18% (-0.64 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.51% (-0.80099999999999 -0.8)51.49% (0.806 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71% (-0.703 -0.7)73.29% (0.706 0.71)
KS Cracovia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.7% (-0.22800000000001 -0.23)26.3% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57% (-0.308 -0.31)61.43% (0.312 0.31)
Motor Lublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (-0.639 -0.64)27.84% (0.644 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56% (-0.828 -0.83)63.44% (0.832 0.83)
Score Analysis
    KS Cracovia 38.18%
    Motor Lublin 35.52%
    Draw 26.29%
KS CracoviaDrawMotor Lublin
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.248 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.123 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.36% (0.132 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.55% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.09% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 35.52%