Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 12

Oct 19, 2024 at 7.15pm UK

Moravski Stadion

Cracovia
0 - 2
Lech Poznan

Kakabadze (15'), Ghita (22')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ishak (53'), Walemark (57')
Murawski (23'), Milic (38'), Sousa (44')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between KS Cracovia and Lech Poznan.

Form, Standings, Stats

KS Cracovia

All competitions

Last Game: Slask Wroclaw 2-4 Cracovia
Sunday, October 6 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Lech Poznan 1-2 Motor Lublin
Saturday, October 5 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 41.86%. A win for KS Cracovia had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest KS Cracovia win was 1-0 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
KS Cracovia	Draw	Lech Poznan
32.09% ( 0.02)	26.05% ( 0.01)	41.86% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.2% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.89% (

-0.01)

51.11% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.04% (

-0.01)

72.96% (

0.01)

KS Cracovia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17% (

0.01)

29.83% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.08% (

0.01)

65.91% (

-0.01)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.82% (

-0.02)

24.18% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.49% (

-0.03)

58.51% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

KS Cracovia 32.09%

Lech Poznan 41.85%

Draw 26.04%

KS Cracovia	Draw	Lech Poznan
1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 32.09%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 10.23% 1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.75% Total : 41.85%